Pair #7047

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-DGHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Doug Ghim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 343

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8600
Last: 0.4000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-DGHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Doug Ghim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1411

YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:02:45Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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