Pair #7034

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-RHIS

Ryo Hisatsune to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23558

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR3LEAD-VATO26-RHIS

Will Ryo Hisatsune lead at the end of Round 3 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 23875

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:02:27Z

Reasoning: Competing in The Masters does not require leading after Round 3 of the Valero Texas Open, and leading after Round 3 of the Valero Texas Open does not guarantee a Masters invitation. These are independent events (though the Valero Texas Open winner gets a Masters invite, leading after R3 does not guarantee winning).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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