Pair #7020

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR05CERTSI-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the Cerundolo vs Tsitsipas : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-04-05T12:00:00Z
Volume: 41901

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Francisco Cerundolo wins the Cerundolo vs Tsitsipas professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 927558

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Francisco Cerundolo wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:02:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning a Monte Carlo Round of 64 match are in separate tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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