Pair #7015

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26APR05POPRUU-RUU

Will Casper Ruud win the Popyrin vs Ruud : Round Of 64 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Casper Ruud
Expiration: 2026-04-05T12:00:00Z
Volume: 31455

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2400
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Casper Ruud wins the Popyrin vs Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-RUU

Will Casper Ruud win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Casper Ruud
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1650845

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Casper Ruud wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:01:52Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning a Monte Carlo Round of 64 match, and winning that Monte Carlo match does not imply winning the French Open. Separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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