Pair #701

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2258339

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Griffin wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 129845

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ben Griffin wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:06:55Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and winning the Valspar Championship are entirely separate events with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0190
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue