Pair #7

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-AND

Will Mirra Andreeva win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1076740

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.7900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mirra Andreeva wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAGRANDSLAM-26-MAND

Will Mirra Andreeva win a Tennis Grand Slam in 2026?

Series: KXWTAGRANDSLAM
Entity: Mirra Andreeva
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5014

YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.2700
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mirra Andreeva wins a tennis major (the Australian Open, the U.S. Open, the French Open, or Wimbledon) before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-16T22:50:30Z

Reasoning: If Andreeva wins the French Open, she has won a Grand Slam. The reverse does not hold — she could win a different major.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-16T23:06:53Z

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