Pair #6973

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JSPI

Valero Texas Open: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 57514

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-JSPI

Masters Tournament: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 57359

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:00:55Z

Reasoning: These are different tournaments entirely. Performance in one has no logical necessity over performance in the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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