Pair #697

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VAC26-BGRI

Valspar Championship: Will Ben Griffin finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 803

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9300
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin finishes top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BGRI

Will Ben Griffin win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ben Griffin
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2258339

YES ask: 0.0020
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0020

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ben Griffin wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:06:55Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 at the Valspar Championship has no logical connection to winning the Masters. These are completely separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9320
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue