Pair #6957

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 97143

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26APR05PEGSTA-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Pegula vs Starodubtseva : Final match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-04-05T20:00:00Z
Volume: 15416

YES ask: 0.7900
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.8000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Pegula vs Starodubtseva professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Charleston Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-05T08:00:37Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open and winning the WTA Charleston Final are entirely separate tournaments with no logical dependency in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: 10
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: -104.22% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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