Pair #6955

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26APR04BOSTB-TB

Boston at Tampa Bay Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6592

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Boston at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26APR06TBBUF-TB

Tampa Bay at Buffalo Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-04-07T02:00:00Z
Volume: 9461

YES ask: 0.5200
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5200

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Buffalo professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:10:02Z

Reasoning: These are two separate hockey games on different dates involving Tampa Bay. Winning one game does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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