Pair #6949

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26APR04BUFWSH-WSH

Buffalo at Washington Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: WSH Capitals
Expiration: 2026-04-05T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1056

YES ask: 0.4900
NO ask: 0.5200
Last: 0.4900

Rules

If WSH Capitals wins the Buffalo at Washington professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26APR05WSHNYR-WSH

Washington at New York R Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: WSH Capitals
Expiration: 2026-04-06T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3632

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If WSH Capitals wins the Washington at New York R professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:52Z

Reasoning: These are two separate games for Washington on different dates (Apr 4 vs Buffalo and Apr 5 vs New York R). Winning one game does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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