Pair #6941

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLTOTAL-26APR04MTLNJ-9

Montreal vs New Jersey: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 9.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-04-05T02:00:00Z
Volume: 551

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 9.5 total combined goals are scored in the Montreal vs New Jersey professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLTOTAL-26APR05NJMTL-9

New Jersey vs Montreal: Total Goals

Series: KXNHLTOTAL
Entity: Over 9.5 goals scored
Expiration: 2026-04-06T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1296

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If over 9.5 total combined goals are scored in the New Jersey vs Montreal professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:52Z

Reasoning: Although these involve the same two teams (Montreal and New Jersey), they are scheduled on different dates and are separate games. The total goals in the Apr 4 game do not logically necessitate the total goals outcome in the Apr 5 game, or vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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