Pair #6915

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-SRYD

Will Sam Ryder lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 29551

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Ryder is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-SRYD

Valero Texas Open: Will Sam Ryder make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3206

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sam Ryder has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:23Z

Reasoning: If Sam Ryder leads after Round 2, he has completed Round 2 and is at the top of the leaderboard, which means he has made the cut (the cut is made after Round 2). The leader necessarily makes the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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