Pair #6911

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-DWU

Valero Texas Open: Will Dylan Wu finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 439

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dylan Wu finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DWU

Valero Texas Open: Will Dylan Wu make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 402

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Dylan Wu has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:02Z

Reasoning: If Dylan Wu finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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