Pair #6909

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-DWU

Will Dylan Wu win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1681

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dylan Wu wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DWU

Valero Texas Open: Will Dylan Wu make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Dylan Wu
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 402

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Dylan Wu has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:02Z

Reasoning: If Dylan Wu wins the tournament, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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