Pair #6908

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-DWAL

Will Danny Walker lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 863

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Walker is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DWAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Danny Walker make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Danny Walker
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 437

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Danny Walker has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:02Z

Reasoning: If Danny Walker leads at the end of Round 2, he has completed Round 2 and the cut is made after Round 2, so he necessarily makes the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean he led after Round 2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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