Pair #6905

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-EVAN

Valero Texas Open: Will Erik Van Rooyen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1067

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Erik Van Rooyen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-EVAN

Valero Texas Open: Will Erik Van Rooyen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1354

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Erik Van Rooyen has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:02Z

Reasoning: If Erik Van Rooyen finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to compete through the final rounds. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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