Pair #6903

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-EVAN

Will Erik Van Rooyen win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1641

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Erik Van Rooyen wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-EVAN

Valero Texas Open: Will Erik Van Rooyen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Erik Van Rooyen
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1067

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Erik Van Rooyen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:09:02Z

Reasoning: If Erik Van Rooyen wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily in the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not mean he won.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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