Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-KSTR
Will Kevin Streelman lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 482
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kevin Streelman is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-KSTR
Valero Texas Open: Will Kevin Streelman make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kevin Streelman
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1473
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kevin Streelman has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:08:22Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 means the player completed Round 2 at the top of the leaderboard, which necessarily means they made the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 2.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A