Pair #6867

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-GSAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Gordon Sargent finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1606

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-GSAR

Valero Texas Open: Will Gordon Sargent make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gordon Sargent
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 212

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gordon Sargent has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:08:04Z

Reasoning: If Gordon Sargent finishes top 20, he must have completed all four rounds, which means he made the cut. Making the cut is a necessary condition for finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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