Pair #6854

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-JPOS

Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: J.T. Poston
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9902

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.T. Poston finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-JPOS

Valero Texas Open: Will J.T. Poston make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: J.T. Poston
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 676

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If J.T. Poston has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:07:24Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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