Pair #6852

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-CPHI

Will Chandler Phillips lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 370

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CPHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Chandler Phillips make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chandler Phillips
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3075

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Phillips has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:07:24Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 means the player is still in the tournament and will make the cut (the cut is made after Round 2). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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