Pair #6840

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR3LEAD-VATO26-TOLE

Will Thorbjorn Olesen lead at the end of Round 3 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR3LEAD
Entity: Thorbjorn Olesen
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5572

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thorbjorn Olesen is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-TOLE

Valero Texas Open: Will Thorbjorn Olesen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Thorbjorn Olesen
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 370

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Thorbjorn Olesen has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:07:05Z

Reasoning: Leading at the end of Round 3 means the player has completed three rounds, which requires having made the cut after Round 2. Leading after Round 3 logically implies making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue