Pair #6838

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-TOLE

Valero Texas Open: Will Thorbjorn Olesen finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Thorbjorn Olesen
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6787

YES ask: 0.1900
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Thorbjorn Olesen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-TOLE

Valero Texas Open: Will Thorbjorn Olesen make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Thorbjorn Olesen
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 370

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Thorbjorn Olesen has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:07:05Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires completing all four rounds, which requires making the cut. A top 10 finish logically implies making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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