Pair #6831

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-PNYH

Will Pontus Nyholm lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 723

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pontus Nyholm is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-PNYH

Valero Texas Open: Will Pontus Nyholm make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Pontus Nyholm
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2040

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Pontus Nyholm has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:07:05Z

Reasoning: If Nyholm leads at the end of Round 2, he has completed Round 2 and is at the top of the leaderboard, which means he has made the cut (the cut is determined after Round 2). The leader cannot miss the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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