Pair #6825

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-MMCG

Valero Texas Open: Will Max McGreevy finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Max McGreevy
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 701

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max McGreevy finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MMCG

Valero Texas Open: Will Max McGreevy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max McGreevy
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 647

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max McGreevy has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires making the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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