Pair #6823

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9553

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 452

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires making the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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