Pair #6822

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6201

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 452

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires making the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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