Pair #6821

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-PMAL

Will Peter Malnati win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7965

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-PMAL

Valero Texas Open: Will Peter Malnati make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Peter Malnati
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 452

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Peter Malnati has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:06:46Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament requires playing all rounds, so Malnati must have made the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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