Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CLAM
Valero Texas Open: Will Christo Lamprecht finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christo Lamprecht
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 476
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Christo Lamprecht finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-CLAM
Valero Texas Open: Will Christo Lamprecht finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Christo Lamprecht
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3415
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Christo Lamprecht finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:06:26Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. But finishing top 20 does not imply finishing top 10.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A