Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-VATO26-CLAM
Will Christo Lamprecht win the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Christo Lamprecht
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 88704
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Christo Lamprecht wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-VATO26-CLAM
Valero Texas Open: Will Christo Lamprecht finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christo Lamprecht
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 476
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Christo Lamprecht finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:06:10Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top-10 finish. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.1000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A