Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LHOD
Valero Texas Open: Will Lee Hodges finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5279
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LHOD
Valero Texas Open: Will Lee Hodges make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2642
YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Lee Hodges has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:50Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all four rounds, which requires making the cut. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A