Pair #6789

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-LHOD

Valero Texas Open: Will Lee Hodges finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5279

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lee Hodges finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-LHOD

Valero Texas Open: Will Lee Hodges make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Lee Hodges
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 2642

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Lee Hodges has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:50Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all four rounds, which requires making the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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