Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-DGHI
Will Doug Ghim lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 243
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Doug Ghim is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DGHI
Valero Texas Open: Will Doug Ghim make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 212
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Doug Ghim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:50Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 means the player is at or near the top of the leaderboard heading into the cut, and the cut is made after Round 2. The Round 2 leader will always make the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply leading after Round 2.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A