Pair #6786

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-DGHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Doug Ghim finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1411

YES ask: 0.4400
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DGHI

Valero Texas Open: Will Doug Ghim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Doug Ghim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 212

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Doug Ghim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:50Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in a PGA Tour event requires completing all four rounds, which means the player must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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