Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-DFOR
Will David Ford lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15482
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If David Ford is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DFOR
Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 272
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.2600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If David Ford has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:28Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 means the player has completed two rounds and is at the top of the leaderboard. In a standard PGA Tour event, the cut is made after Round 2, so the Round 2 leader necessarily makes the cut. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A