Pair #6781

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-DFOR

Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 502

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DFOR

Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 272

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:28Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires making the cut and completing the tournament. If David Ford finishes top 10, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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