Pair #6779

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-DFOR

Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1997

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-DFOR

Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 272

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:28Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in a PGA Tour event requires making the cut and completing the tournament. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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