Pair #6778

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-DFOR

Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 502

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-DFOR

Valero Texas Open: Will David Ford finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Ford
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1997

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Ford finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:28Z

Reasoning: If David Ford finishes top 10, he necessarily also finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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