Pair #6768

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5529

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-AEWA

Valero Texas Open: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 537

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If A.J. Ewart has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:07Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 2 means the player has completed Round 2 and will make the cut (the leader cannot miss the cut). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean leading after Round 2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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