Pair #6766

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-AEWA

Valero Texas Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2213

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-AEWA

Valero Texas Open: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 537

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:07Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires playing the weekend rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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