Pair #6762

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-AECK

Valero Texas Open: Will Austin Eckroat finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Austin Eckroat
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 419

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Austin Eckroat finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-AECK

Valero Texas Open: Will Austin Eckroat finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Austin Eckroat
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 363

YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.4000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Austin Eckroat finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:05:07Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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