Pair #6756

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 682

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1894

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:48Z

Reasoning: If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes top 5, he necessarily finishes top 10 as well (top 5 is a subset of top 10). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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