Pair #6753

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1972

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9374

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9000
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:48Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 2, and leading after Round 2 does not guarantee a top 20 finish. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue