Pair #6752

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VATO26-ADUM

Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart win the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 81420

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-ADUM

Valero Texas Open: Will Adrien Dumont De Chassart finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Adrien Dumont De Chassart
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 682

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adrien Dumont De Chassart finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:48Z

Reasoning: If Adrien Dumont De Chassart wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 5. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 5 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue