Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-ECOL
Will Eric Cole lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?
Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2675
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Eric Cole is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ECOL
Valero Texas Open: Will Eric Cole make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 567
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Eric Cole has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:48Z
Reasoning: In PGA Tour events, the cut is made after Round 2. The leader at the end of Round 2 must make the cut (the leader cannot be cut). The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not mean leading after Round 2.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$2.0000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A