Pair #6747

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ECOL

Valero Texas Open: Will Eric Cole finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 798

YES ask: 0.2800
NO ask: 0.7600
Last: 0.2800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eric Cole finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-ECOL

Valero Texas Open: Will Eric Cole make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 567

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eric Cole has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:48Z

Reasoning: If Eric Cole finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. You cannot finish top 20 overall without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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