Pair #6739

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-VATO26-CBLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Chandler Blanchet finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 860

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-CBLA

Valero Texas Open: Will Chandler Blanchet make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chandler Blanchet
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 526

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Chandler Blanchet has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:28Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 requires playing the weekend rounds, so making the cut is a logical necessity. Making the cut does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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