Pair #6730

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-ZBAU

Valero Texas Open: Will Zachary Bauchou finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Zachary Bauchou
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 230

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zachary Bauchou finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VATO26-ZBAU

Valero Texas Open: Will Zachary Bauchou finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Zachary Bauchou
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 388

YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Zachary Bauchou finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:04:08Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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