Pair #6721

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMASTERS-26-BHOR

Billy Horschel to compete in The Masters in 2026?

Series: KXPGAMASTERS
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-13T14:00:00Z
Volume: 14714

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel competes in The Masters in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR2LEAD-VATO26-BHOR

Will Billy Horschel lead at the end of Round 2 in the Valero Texas Open?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Billy Horschel
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2189

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Billy Horschel is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:03:49Z

Reasoning: Competing in The Masters does not require leading after Round 2 of the Valero Texas Open, and leading after Round 2 of the Valero Texas Open does not guarantee a Masters invitation. These are independent events with no logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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