Pair #6705

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1973

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VATO26-MKIM

Valero Texas Open: Will Michael Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Michael Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-03T22:00:00Z
Volume: 965

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Valero Texas Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-04T08:03:28Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish requires playing the weekend, which means making the cut. The reverse is not true (making the cut does not guarantee top 10).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue